September 21, 2020, Christopher D. Carroll EntrepreneurPF
Consider a firm characterized by the following:
Suppose that the firm’s goal is to pick the sequence that solves:
| (1) |
subject to the transition equation for capital,
| (2) |
where is the amount of capital left after one period of depreciation at
rate
.1
is the value of the profit-maximizing firm: If capital markets are efficient this
is the equity value that the firm would command if somebody wanted to buy
it.
The firm’s Bellman equation can be written:
|
Define as the derivative of adjustment costs with respect to the level of
investment.
The first order condition for optimal investment implies:
| (3) |
In words: The marginal cost of an additional unit of investment (the LHS) should be equal to the discounted marginal value of the resulting extra capital (the RHS).
The Envelope theorem says
|
So the corresponding equation can be substituted into (3) to
obtain
| (4) |
which is the Euler equation for investment.
Now suppose that a steady state exists in which the capital stock is at
its optimal level and is not adjusting, so costs of adjustment are zero:
.
If then (4) reduces to
| (5) |
so that the capital stock is equal to the value that causes its marginal product to match the interest factor, after compensating for depreciation.
Another way to analyze this problem is in terms of the marginal value of
capital,
Rewrite (4) as
| (6) |
and the phase diagram is constructed using the locus. In
the vicinity of the steady state, we can assume
in which case
the
locus becomes
| (7) |
which implies (since is downward sloping in
) that the
locus (that is, the
function that corresponds to
) is downward sloping.
The phase diagram is depicted below.
The steady state of the model will be the point at which
, implying from (2) a steady-state investment rate
of
| (8) |
and solving (5) for
| (9) |
which can be substituted into (7) to obtain the steady-state value of
:
| (10) |
We now wish to modify the problem in two ways. First, we have been assuming
that the firm has only physical capital, and no financial assets. Second,
we have been assuming that the manager running the firm only cares
about the PDV of profits; suppose instead we want to assume that the
firm is a small business run by an entrepreneur who must live off the
dividends of the firm, and thus they are maximizing the discounted sum of
utility from dividends rather than just the level of discounted
profits. (Note that we designate dividends by
; dividends were not
explicitly chosen in the
-model version of the problem, because the
Modigliani-Miller theorem says that the firm’s value is unaffected by its dividend
policy).
We call the maximizer running this firm the ‘entrepreneur.’ The entrepreneur’s
level of monetary assets evolves according to
| (11) |
That is, next period the firm’s money is next period’s profits plus the return factor on the money at the beginning of this period, minus this period’s investment and associated adjustment costs, minus dividends paid out (which, having been paid out, are no longer part of the firm’s money).
The entrepreneur’s Bellman equation can now be written
|
Value is simply the discounted sum of utility from future dividends:
|
Assume that and
do not depend directly on
. That is, their partial
derivatives with respect to
are zero.
Then we will have
FOC wrt :
| (12) |
Envelope wrt :
| (13) |
and combining the FOC with the Envelope theorem we get the usual
|
where the last line follows because we have assumed .
Now note that the value function can be rewritten as
|
This holds because maximizing with respect to (subject
to the accumulation equation) is equivalent to maximizing with
respect to the components of
.
For the version in (14) the FOC with respect to is
| (14) |
This holds because the derivative of the RHS of (14) with respect to
is
| (15) |
(remember that is a control variable and thus its derivative with
respect to investment is zero) so the FOC translates to
| (16) |
which reduces to (14).
Now we can use the envelope theorem with respect to to show
that
| (17) |
This can be seen by directly taking the derivative of the RHS of (14)
with respect to :
| (18) |
and noting that the Envelope theorem tells us the derivatives with
respect to the controls and
are zero while
.
Now we can combine (14) and (17) to derive the Euler equation for investment
| (19) |
To see this, start with the Envelope theorem,
| (20) |
which means that we can rewrite (14) substituting the rolled-forward version of (20)
|
where the last line follows because with we know that
implying
.
Since behavior (for either a firm manager or a consumer) is determined by Euler equations, and the Euler equations for both consumption and investment are identical in this model to the Euler equations for the standard models, there is no observable consequence for investment of the fact that the firm is being run by a utility maximizer, and there is no observable consequence for consumption of the fact that the consumer owns a business enterprise with costly capital adjustment.
Now consider a firm of this kind that happens to have arrived in period
with positive monetary assets
and with capital equal to the
steady-state target value
.
Suppose that a thief steals all the firm’s monetary assets.
The consequences for the firm are depicted below in figure 2.
Dividends follow a random walk. Thus, there is a one-time downward adjustment to the level of dividends to reflect the stolen money. Thereafter dividends are constant, as are monetary assets (which are constant at zero forever).
The theft of the money has no effect on investment or the capital stock, because the firm’s investment decisions are made on the basis of whether they are profitable and the theft of the money has no effect on the profitability of investments.
Now consider another kind of shock: The firm’s main building gets hit by a meteor, destroying some of the firm’s capital stock.
The results are depicted below in 3.
Again, because dividends follow a random walk, what the firm’s managers do is to assess the effect of the meteor shock on the firm’s total value and they adjust the level of dividends downward immediately to the sustainable new level of dividends. Thereafter there is no change in the level of dividends.
Investment is more complicated. The firm’s capital stock is obviously reduced below its steady-state value by the meteor, so there must be a period of high investment expenditures to bring capital back toward its steady state. However, the firm started out with monetary assets of zero. Therefore the high initial investment expenditures will be paid for by borrowing, driving the firm’s monetary assets to a permanent negative value (the firm goes into debt to pay for its rebuilding). Gradually over time the capital stock is rebuilt back to its target level, and investment expenditures return to zero (or the level consistent with replacing depreciated capital).